Digitalthom - Latest Comments in While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Thom Allen — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:52:21 -0000

Oh I understand you were speculating, and my post is an answer to your question. I don't think Sundance will have as big an impact on Qik as SXSW had on Twitter. But I guess we'll see. If it does, I'm glad for it. Pushing this technology is the only way to create competitors and improve the overall infrastructure. That I agree with.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Thom Allen — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:29:37 -0000

Oh, and I'm glad to be back in the fray. Kinda of fun eh?

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Jesse Stay — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:26:41 -0000

I think live video will explode this year. I don't know if Qik will be the
mechanism to deliver that. I do think Ustream has a very large possibility
to be that player.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Thom Allen — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:26:27 -0000

I agree Qik won't be Twitter. Not really apples to apples, right? But even your numbers above validate my point, out of the 3 billion handsets worldwide, a very very small majority have the capability to use Qik, let alone consume the Qik video. It's not about the iPhone, it's about the 2.5 billion phones that don't have the capability to stream video.

I'm not sure how you can say only a small amount of phones don't support the service? I really think its the other way around, only a small percentage of phones can support Qik.

I also agree trying to stream video over Edge is nothing compared to 3G, at least its watchable. But the fact is, not everyone has 3G. For instance, in salt Lake City, I don't think T-Mobile offers 3G, and probably won't for a while. I had a T-Mobile phone for the past 8 years, and I was pretty disappointed in its capabilities. All of my family are on T-Mobile, mostly because of cost.

when you say signed up for Qik, they signed up for an account, doesn't mean they can actually stream video from their phone. I don't want to always be a consumer, I want to be a player, I want the social aspect of the tool.

It's possible that events like Sundance will increase the visibility of a Qik type of service, but it won't be this year. Maybe next, maybe later.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Thom Allen — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 16:19:21 -0000

Thanks Russ. Been working on it for a while.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Jesse Stay — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 15:47:32 -0000

I don't get how you can't say they are experiencing massive growth - they
added 100,000 users in a single day at Sundance! The question becomes will
that continue - I wasn't speculating that. I was posing the question.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Jesse Stay — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 15:15:04 -0000

Thom, I'm glad to see you blogging again. First of all, there are only 13 million iPhone users worldwide. Twitter didn't spread because of the iPhone. There are 3 *billion* total cellphones worldwide, and compared to the phones Qik supports I'd say there are still fewer iPhones than the number of phones Qik supports.

Second, you mention Scoble using Qik. He uses Qik on a Nokia to stream - right now there are still more Nokias than iPhones worldwide.

Third, related to my quality at the Apple store, I was streaming on a hacked, v.1 iPhone on Edge there. I've used Qik on my 3G and the quality is night and day difference on the 3G. And let's not forget to mention all the quality problems Twitter had in their early days.

I'm not saying this to say Qik will be Twitter. Qik != Twitter. However I do think that Sundance may have been the SXSW moment for Qik similar to how SXSW was for Twitter. I think that's a proud moment for Utah, and that technologists and entrepreneurs can feel comfortable enough to come out here and promote their product. And regarding reach, there's still plenty of reach for Qik - only an extremely small percentage of phones don't support the service. And like Twitter, I predict Qik won't always be a mobile-only service.

The fact is over 100,000 people signed up for Qik at Sundance - that's a *huge* number! This news isn't necessarily about that number though - it's about how a Utah-based festival had such a strong affect on a Web 2.0 company. I think we should embrace, and promote that.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Russ — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 15:08:49 -0000

Thom -

I like the new design. Looks great.

Re: While Qik Is A Leap Forward, Mass Adoption Will Be Slow

Utahcon — Tue, 20 Jan 2009 14:58:50 -0000

You are absolutely right. Current mobile hardware doesn't lend its self to the nature of Qik. The concept is cool, but YouTube is a better fit. A good wordpress plugin/app + youtube combo will serve better.

Live streaming from a cell phone is still just not practicle. Good post.